The struggle for survival on IT rincevent Kuryshev | 08.05.2020
In connection with the current situation in the world all of us are facing hard times. The global market for goods and services is already undergoing major changes. It is considered that the market of it and telecommunications
will suffer from the global crisis the least, and some parts of it even benefit. Try to understand, whether so it actually.
Who will go and who will stay?
Despite the generally positive forecasts for the IT market, it is obvious that without the victims do not succeed. Some companies will be forced to modify their activities, someone
have to completely exit the game. In contrast to them there will be those whom the crisis will play into the hands. That’s what people think about this market participants.
Alexey Melnikov (“Marvel-Distribution”):
“The market will take inflexible, having different flaws in the reputation of the company. Pandemic and crisis especially sharply raised the question of trust.”
The CEO of the company “marvel-Distribution” Alexey Melnikov believes that will hurt those who only thinks about himself and not about the partners: for example, unilaterally cancels
reserves or orders, decides not to pay the contractors, despite the fact that everything is now in a difficult position.
Valentin Makarov (RUSSOFT):”the Market leaves no more than 5% of the companies. Or bought for next to nothing, or their resources will quickly take away the competition.”
President of NP “RUSSOFT” Valentin Makarov recalls that in the modern history of Russian IT-companies have gone through a lot of crises, always found ways to survive. However, there will be
losers in the first place will hurt those who served enterprises of traditional economy.
Natalia Soboleva (OCS Distribution):”Today no one can confidently predict scenarios, so you do not blush for excessive arrogance. But if the global economy, which is already timidly begins to open, will stay fully collapse just two months, then the IT market will in reality take very few and only very weak. But the protracted, two-three years to survive the crisis can not all”.
Vice-President of the OC‘S Distribution Natalia Soboleva stresses that the pandemic is not the first crisis that swept the global and Russian market. Despite some exotic
the attributes inherent in the present moment, by and large happening can be estimated as a classic cyclical economic crisis. And any crisis in any industry in the first deadly
the queue for weak companies. The bubble burst. “You can’t survive the hard times and companies that were unhealthy financial policy, with the lack of own funds or with a huge volume
non-diversified receivables that will suddenly become bad,” says Ms. Soboleva. If investors get scared, they can not survive good startups, which the crisis finds
at the moment of closing investment rounds.
Ms. Soboleva focuses on the fact that, in contrast to the markets of HoReCa and tourism, for which the pandemic was catastrophic and resulted in an almost complete stop of life, in the market
It/Telecom life even intensified. For example, in the segment of tools for remote jobs. According to Ms. Soboleva, the main question is, how long will the crisis and how it
will continue to evolve: there will be a quick rebound or a very long, creeping recession?
Dmitry Komissarov (“New Cloud”):”If the equipment configuration is necessary and its for some reason impossible to carry out remotely, it is likely that the project will be suspended or postponed.”
The General Director of company “New Cloud” Dmitry Komissarov noted that stalled projects, which are important physical access to jobs, such as
APCS. In particular, it relates to ERP systems. Suffer also companies in which to establish remote work is not possible. Also, you should expect fairly strong shocks in
outsourcing. We are waiting for the total demand for remote work, and programmers should be able 100% the transition to this type of work. “The main problem effective
outsourcing work is the need for constant communication with clients, and to build it remotely does not always work” – explains g-n Commissioners. In addition, the majority of retail
transformirovalsya online: grow shops, ready to organize a virtual fitting and other services is dictated by time, including the fast delivery.
Alexander Egorov CEO of “Reksoft”:”IT-team professionals will withdraw from the market. Leach will be a variety of intermediaries, because customers will save, and the performers look more closely at the level of margins”.
Alexander Semenov (“KORUS Consulting”):”Predicting that it would be premature, as a definite idea about the impact of the crisis on the IT industry right now, no.”
Chairman of the Board of Directors of “KORUS Consulting” Alexander Semenov stresses that leave those who can’t adapt to new realities. In the end, remain the most powerful and flexible
the company is able to move quickly while maintaining maximum customer focus.
Taras Fedorov (TAD Development):”At risk – a company specializing in IT consulting. The reason is specificity of offline methods of gathering of requirements and the conservatism of the project work: professionals literally are deployed to the customer to immerse themselves in the processes is not implied”.
CEO TAD Development Taras Fedorov believes that the regulation of companies providing IT-consulting services, is complicated by another factor. Even after quarantine
big business, the main customer of consulting services, will retain restrictions on the presence of employees on their sites. Similar problems will affect audit firms.
The negative Outlook is directly related to how long the pandemic. According to Mr. Fedorov, is another major risk associated not so much with the pandemic, but with its attendant
economic crisis: major IT company in the search drop-down profits will be to expand the range of its proposals, including giving free services. Thus, these players will start
to develop segments that are occupied today in small companies, and then the situation will continue to develop in a Domino effect. This situation concerns not only Russia but the world as a whole, concludes Mr.
Fedorov.
Sergei Solovyov (“the company”):”programme for the development of a number of customers will be frozen, which will lead to a fall in revenue integrators focused on working with retail, tourism and other affected industries with highly elastic demand.”
Commercial Director of the group “Technoserv” Sergei Solovyov notes in the current conditions of democratization of the IT market focuses on creating customized solutions that increase the impact
investment and allows to obtain a qualitative advantage over competitors. So first of all infrastructure deliverable segment of the market will suffer from shrinking demand.
In addition, because of the fixation of many large customers price terms of purchases in rubles, as well as possible fines and penalties as a result of the failure of the projects may be affected medium and large
system integrators, says Mr. Solovyev. Soon you can expect to reduce IT-projects and big business oil and gas sector, and in transportation, construction, management
real estate. Cloud service providers automation will face an outflow of clients in connection with the termination of activity of the SMB-companies in the real sector.
Potential problems and Russian manufacturers of equipment due to difficulties with the production and delivery of components ordered in China. “Least of all suffer IT-developers working on
foreign customers. Powerful packs of the economies of Western countries will promote accelerated recovery of the market, and customers will continue funding its projects,”
considers g-n nightingales.
In the current environment of uncertainty IT companies are trying to build hypotheses about the development of the situation and take a wait and see position. This process will continue until the moment when it will be
clear the most likely scenario of an exit of economy from crisis. “After that companies optimize their business strategies and begin to work actively on the priority
areas,” – concludes g-n nightingales.
IT-priorities
Most of the surveyed companies believe that IT-market will continue to develop actively. The success of certain segments will determine the demand for specialists in the relevant
directions. What IT profession will be most in demand in the near future?
Alexey Melnikov (“marvel-Distribution”):”there Will be demand everything”.
Alexey Melnikov (“marvel-Distribution”) believes that system administrators and engineers will be in demand, because they actively reconstruct and adapt IT infrastructure
programmers – because finalize IN view of the increased load and changes to some processes and the IT equipment suppliers – because advise and dispatch the necessary decisions.
“Will the price and all of the specialties of marketing, especially with the prefix “digital”, because online services sites now literally replace the face of the company”, – said Mr. Melnikov.
Valentin Makarov (RUSSOFT):”the Most popular are programmers. They will be able to quickly acquire related languages and programming tools to find yourself in any situation”.
According to Valentin Makarov (RUSSOFT), one of the businesses of the winners will be those who are involved in remote services, social technologies, solutions for medicine, for cyber-physical
systems will grow rapidly, the software exporters and IT-services.
Alexander Egorov (Reksoft):”the IT industry traditionally has problems with the staff. Sought after developers of all specializations, DevOps engineers, UX/UI designers, Data Scientists, analysts”.
Alexander Egorov (Reksoft) says that now on the labour market there are opportunities for retraining in the IT profession people without technical education: a new profession
which didn’t exist 10 years ago, has increased the need for non-technical professionals. For example, the profession “UX/UI designer” was not in General, and bi in quantities not
required, therefore, is unlikely to be reasonable to seek it in design, without having a concomitant base. “Most likely, it makes sense to find close to you the direction and retrain. To
example, an economist may simply be a business analyst, statistician — specialist in Data Science, Manager any direction — tester, graphic designer — UX/UI designer
specialist of any field, well versed in their industry and business processes of your company can potentially become the head of the project“, – says Mr. Egorov. To implement these
purposes suitable courses are relatively short, and further competencies will be acquired in the course of commercial projects.
Dmitry Komissarov (“New Cloud”):”industry will benefit wherever possible to provide remote presence”.
Dmitry Komissarov (“New Cloud”) predicts a surge of VR technology, because it allows to give access to remote equipment. For example,
the Adjuster will be able to operate the remote manipulator without being physically at the facility. In VR games also allow you to earn money while sitting at home. Up to the current time this technology is treated as more of a
toy, practice application was not very wide, and now there is a real business need.
In addition, he believes, will develop online education, but first it must undergo some changes because there are skills that the computer cannot develop. Referred to VR, for example,
will help develop motor skills, to fulfill some operations. Right now mostly benefit companies focused on individuals.
“We have, for example, increased demand for cloud-based office — there were about a dozen inquiries from major companies and state bodies for installation of our products in the near future,” says
Mr. Commissioners. The most dynamic development awaits cloud systems that allow to organize joint remote work, like “Beatrix”, he said.
Alexander Semenov (“KORUS Consulting”): “If the reduction will affect programmers who write code that only the most qualified. For unique experts fight to the end.”
Alexander Semenov (“KORUS Consulting”) notes that the upscale developers of high demand will not change: it is about those who are able to solve non-standard tasks, to create something from scratch
to think systematically and on a large scale.
Natalia Soboleva (OCS Distribution):”Someone predicts the explosive growth of VR/AR, somebody – the triumphant March of the drones, the replacement of human labour by robots and hence the increasing demand for specialists in these fields. Of course, investment in them will be. But the truth is that in recent years a significant growth engine of the IT market is the explosive development of technology AI”.
Natalia Soboleva (OCS Distribution) says that the company and the production was divided into those who have completed the digital transformation (including in AI) or does it
power, and those who have just started to guess that, it seems, without it anywhere. This naturally ensured a steady demand for software developers, data-science-engineers, architects,
since the processes of digital transformation lead to tectonic shifts in the IT landscapes of companies and requirements to build up new competencies. “The pandemic is here hardly anything
significantly change from the point of view of availability of good professionals in the market. Perhaps there will be some redistribution between their employment in in-house and outsourcing organizations,”
concludes Ms. Soboleva.
Taras Fedorov (TAD Development):”global trends include the continued strong demand for QA engineers and programmers. The complexity of the systems for business grows every year, and the demand for a qualified test engineer is still higher than supply”.
Taras Fedorov (TAD Development) also believes that the demand for AI-technologies are unlikely to be affected by a crisis. Moreover, these technologies have been including many startups in force
of interest such class of solutions. “So popular are python developers, because it is the primary language for machine learning and data-Analytics”, – says Mr. Fedorov.
Sergei Solovyov (“the company”):”the Most popular specialization in 2020-2021 years will be the effective management of IT-projects. Architects business solutions that are able to shift offline processes online, the specialists in Hyper-converged platforms will work on the task of unification, simplify IT infrastructures, and, of course, the demand for developers in the traditional areas will only grow.”
Sergei Solovyov (“the company”) emphasizes that the development of the labour market in the it will go in two directions. The first is the consolidation of functions during downsizing, getting rid of
bureaucratic procedures, the possible introduction of SLA for employees. The second is the need for people able to work effectively in remote mode. The latter, according to Mr. Solovyov, especially
true, it is already obvious problem of accelerated burn-in remote employees because of the blurring boundaries of work and personal life, when, instead of family time in the evenings people participate in
meeting Coly and dismantle work e-mail.
We need to realize that the experience of remote work will require even greater expertise in working with data, which will increase the demand for specialists in information security, data Analytics, and experts able
to build the mechanisms of aggregation of data for the purpose of effective management of the companies at various levels. “In a situation when the Manager does not receive nonverbal information from subordinates in
the usual volume, make decisions, help numbers, graphs and projections” – sums up g-n nightingales.
(To be continued)
Journal: Journal IT-News [No. 05/2020], Subscription to magazines
